Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 58.982996 67.099122 75.449603 84.649916 94.469715 104.606739 115.832018
2025-07-13 48.670629 60.502402 73.260717 87.903634 104.115463 121.397254 141.097342
2025-07-20 42.084214 55.980204 71.493772 89.815947 110.603799 133.224793 159.477944
2025-07-27 35.798736 50.890894 68.308020 89.423572 113.902939 141.014091 172.952088
2025-08-03 30.566168 46.391059 65.244170 88.657590 116.327193 147.442988 184.566333
2025-08-10 26.880644 43.362664 63.574638 89.209868 120.003560 155.074341 197.351037
2025-08-17 23.216569 39.971364 61.145849 88.575893 122.055360 160.650675 207.631466
2025-08-24 20.444252 37.468559 59.598720 88.819975 124.990479 167.127960 218.847906
2025-08-31 17.557467 34.510114 57.235180 87.852052 126.301421 171.570785 227.595905
2025-09-07 15.835021 33.033005 56.682219 89.062810 130.190462 179.010829 239.812700
2025-09-14 14.410717 31.850071 56.418446 90.562121 134.375977 186.766125 252.378461
2025-09-21 12.421952 29.589487 54.525275 89.816844 135.664115 190.961377 260.668010
2025-09-28 10.213658 26.740504 51.658138 87.687428 135.158423 192.975442 266.391403
2025-10-05 9.742753 26.753162 52.873711 91.029150 141.633917 203.545586 282.423127
2025-10-12 8.956176 26.124416 53.092915 92.976914 146.293191 211.871336 295.748798
2025-10-19 7.681946 24.455503 51.659637 92.577153 147.857554 216.335248 304.375748
2025-10-26 6.470301 22.724732 50.015879 91.795495 148.856885 220.049635 312.057136
2025-11-02 5.667587 21.682938 49.366471 92.359029 151.587721 225.903566 322.337902
2025-11-09 4.729963 20.198950 47.918468 91.712146 152.661697 229.641035 330.000407
2025-11-16 4.052791 19.165070 47.127365 91.961202 154.896811 234.821908 339.426839
2025-11-23 3.269710 17.709708 45.538972 90.973521 155.415011 237.788497 346.093036
2025-11-30 2.885259 17.175091 45.471470 92.208979 158.933381 244.574551 357.497054
2025-12-07 2.575251 16.777552 45.612039 93.738680 162.846275 251.866586 369.538746